Palmeiras vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
SAO
2 - 2
PAL
48%
25%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 1
PAL
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
PAL
1 - 1
GUA
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
RIO
3 - 0
PAL
15%
21%
63%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
PPE
1 - 1
PAL
35%
25%
39%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
BRA
2 - 2
VAS
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
BRA
3 - 0
GAM
61%
21%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
BRA
3 - 1
CEI
73%
16%
10%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 0
BRA
15%
20%
65%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
GAM
1 - 3
BRA
43%
24%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |