Palmeiras vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
PAL
1 - 1
COR
52%
25%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 4
PAL
29%
27%
45%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
PAL
0 - 0
BRA
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PAL
1 - 2
NOV
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAL
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOT
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
POR
3 - 2
BOT
18%
25%
57%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 1
AGU
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
0 - 1
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
NOR
0 - 0
BOT
16%
23%
62%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |