Palmeiras vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 0
COT
44%
26%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
COT
6 - 0
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 1
COR
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 1
MIR
76%
17%
8%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
10%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 1
BOT
35%
26%
40%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
AME
1 - 3
BOT
14%
21%
65%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 2
AVA
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 2
FLA
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
5%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |