Palmeiras vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1972 |
PAL
0 - 0
BOT
65%
19%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1972 |
PAL
1 - 1
SCI
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1972 |
PAL
3 - 0
COT
64%
19%
17%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 1972 |
PAL
3 - 1
AME
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
SAO
2 - 0
PAL
48%
24%
29%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1972 |
PAL
0 - 0
BOT
65%
19%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1972 |
BOT
2 - 1
COR
51%
23%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1972 |
BOT
2 - 1
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1972 |
BOT
4 - 1
SAN
71%
17%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1972 |
GRE
0 - 0
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |