Palmeiras vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAL
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
PAL
2 - 0
SCI
38%
27%
36%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 3
PAL
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
PAL
31%
28%
41%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
PAL
0 - 2
SAO
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
AVA
0 - 0
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
FLU
1 - 0
AVA
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
AVA
5 - 0
CEA
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
VIT
3 - 0
AVA
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
AVA
0 - 3
GRE
39%
26%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |