Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 0-3
Palmeiras vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
42.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 0
COT
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 1
PAL
31%
27%
43%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 2
SAO
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ATM
2 - 1
PAL
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 0
AVA
67%
21%
13%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 0
SCI
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 1
ATM
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
FFL
2 - 2
ATM
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ATM
2 - 1
PAL
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 1
ATM
27%
27%
47%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |