Palmeiras vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
GOI
1 - 1
PAL
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
PAL
4 - 0
SGA
92%
6%
2%
|
77 | 39 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
PAU
4 - 3
PAL
38%
23%
40%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
PAL
1 - 1
PAU
82%
11%
7%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
POR
1 - 2
PAL
20%
22%
58%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
ATM
2 - 0
SAN
80%
12%
7%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
SAN
3 - 0
ATM
24%
23%
53%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
ATM
5 - 1
CAT
89%
8%
3%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
CAT
4 - 2
ATM
14%
20%
66%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
ATM
3 - 2
GOI
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |