Conmebol Sudamericana Quarter-finals
Global 0-3
Palmeiras vs Argentinos Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
PAL
2 - 2
SAO
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2008 |
FFL
0 - 0
PAL
40%
25%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
PAL
3 - 1
ATM
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
PAL
1 - 0
SPO
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
NAU
0 - 0
PAL
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
ARG
2 - 0
HUR
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
LAN
4 - 2
ARG
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
ARG
2 - 0
SNL
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ARG
0 - 4
NOB
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
SNL
2 - 1
ARG
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |