Palmeiras vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
PAL
1 - 2
UNI
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
PAL
1 - 4
GUA
61%
25%
15%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1979 |
UNI
2 - 5
PAL
25%
28%
47%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1979 |
ALI
2 - 4
PAL
22%
28%
50%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1978 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAL
50%
27%
23%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
GUA
2 - 0
ALI
87%
9%
4%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1979 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALI
72%
15%
13%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1979 |
ALI
2 - 4
PAL
22%
28%
50%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1979 |
ALI
0 - 3
GUA
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
ALI
3 - 6
UNI
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |