Palmeiras vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2012 |
ATP
2 - 2
PAL
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
PAL
4 - 0
PAR
72%
18%
9%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 2
PAL
20%
25%
56%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 2
PAL
26%
27%
47%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 2
COM
83%
13%
4%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 0
POR
53%
22%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
BAH
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MIR
4 - 2
POR
26%
24%
50%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
POR
4 - 0
JUV
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
LIN
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |