Palmeiras II vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
64%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 1
SEP
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SEP
0 - 4
PEN
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
JUV
2 - 3
SEP
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
RBB
3 - 0
SEP
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
SEP
2 - 1
RBB
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 0
SAO
61%
21%
17%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
FLU
1 - 0
GUA
76%
17%
8%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 3
GRE
18%
25%
58%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 1
GUA
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
VIT
28%
29%
43%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |