Palmeiras II vs Guaçuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
3 - 0
SEP
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
SEP
1 - 1
BAR
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ITA
5 - 2
SEP
45%
24%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 0
SEP
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SEP
0 - 0
NOR
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guaçuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
BAT
44%
24%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
IND
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
TAU
1 - 0
GUA
45%
25%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 2
GUA
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |