Palmeiras II vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
60.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
SEP
48%
24%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 0
SEP
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
SEP
6 - 3
RIO
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
SEP
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
SEP
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
AUD
58%
21%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
GRÊ
2 - 0
SAO
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 3
GRÊ
20%
21%
59%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
AME
70%
18%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
UNI
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |