Palmeira Goianinha vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
43.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeira Goianinha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 4
ABC
14%
21%
65%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 2
ARN
10%
17%
73%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
PAL
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
BAR
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GLO
4 - 0
PAL
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
POT
3 - 2
ALE
42%
26%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ABC
2 - 0
POT
77%
16%
7%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
POT
4 - 3
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
COR
0 - 4
POT
39%
26%
36%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
GLO
1 - 2
POT
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |