Palmas FR vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmas FR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 2
PAL
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
PAL
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 0
GUA
29%
27%
44%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 0
IMP
25%
25%
50%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
PAL
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
SPM
1 - 2
SAN
29%
24%
48%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
ECM
1 - 0
SAN
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
TDC
39%
26%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
PAL
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |