Palmas FR vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
44.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmas FR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 0
IMP
25%
25%
50%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
PAL
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
INT
0 - 1
PAL
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 1
INT
48%
25%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
GUR
2 - 0
PAL
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 0
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAN
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CEA
3 - 0
GUA
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
GUA
78%
15%
6%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -1 |