Palmas FR vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
66.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmas FR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
5 - 0
PAL
78%
15%
7%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PAL
0 - 1
BAH
17%
23%
60%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
ALA
3 - 0
PAL
68%
20%
12%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
PAL
0 - 2
TFC
39%
23%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
VIL
3 - 1
PAL
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
TFC
1 - 1
GAM
14%
23%
63%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
GAM
5 - 0
CAL
72%
18%
9%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 1
GAM
19%
25%
57%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
GAM
2 - 1
BRA
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 1
GAM
20%
26%
54%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |