Palmas FR vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
68.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmas FR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
BAH
5 - 0
PAL
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
0 - 3
BRA
12%
22%
66%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
GAM
6 - 1
PAL
80%
14%
6%
|
29 | 60 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 2
CAL
21%
26%
53%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
PAL
64%
23%
14%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 3
BRA
37%
28%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BAH
3 - 3
ALA
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
ALA
5 - 0
VIL
62%
23%
15%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
TFC
1 - 2
ALA
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ALA
1 - 1
TFC
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |