Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Las Palmas At. vs Sestao River analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Las Palmas At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
SES
1 - 0
LPA
35%
28%
37%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
LPA
2 - 0
TUI
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
TUI
0 - 2
LPA
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
LAG
2 - 1
LPA
20%
25%
55%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LPA
2 - 1
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sestao River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
SES
1 - 0
LPA
35%
28%
37%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
SES
2 - 0
CDT
37%
29%
35%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
CDT
0 - 1
SES
69%
19%
12%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
ZAR
1 - 1
SES
57%
23%
20%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
LOU
4 - 1
SES
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |