El Palmar vs UCAM Murcia B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
16º
11º
39
5º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Palmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
RMC
1 - 1
EGP
64%
20%
15%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
EGP
2 - 1
CAR
36%
23%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MIN
2 - 2
EGP
54%
23%
24%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
EGP
0 - 2
IMP
42%
24%
34%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 2
EGP
51%
24%
25%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
UCA
1 - 1
ALC
72%
18%
11%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BUL
3 - 2
UCA
22%
24%
54%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CIE
1 - 2
UCA
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
UCA
3 - 1
RMC
35%
25%
40%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
UCA
35%
26%
39%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |