Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
El Palmar vs Deportivo Fabril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Palmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
DEP
4 - 0
EGP
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
PUL
0 - 3
EGP
19%
24%
57%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
EGP
10 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
YEC
2 - 0
EGP
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
EGP
0 - 0
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
DEP
4 - 0
EGP
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ASP
1 - 2
DEP
31%
25%
45%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
DEP
4 - 0
VER
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ORD
1 - 0
DEP
19%
23%
58%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
DEP
5 - 1
GAL
73%
17%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |