Gold Coast City vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
42.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gold Coast City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
PAL
5 - 1
SWQ
89%
8%
3%
|
34 | 5 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 1
SUN
59%
19%
22%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
RED
1 - 0
PAL
59%
18%
22%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
NOO
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
NOF
0 - 3
PAL
16%
19%
65%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
PAS
0 - 0
SOU
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 1
SOU
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
SOU
3 - 2
GRE
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
HEU
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 1
BEN
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |