Gold Coast City vs Moreton City Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gold Coast City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
WES
1 - 2
PAL
14%
19%
67%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 1
OLY
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BRR
1 - 4
PAL
15%
17%
68%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NOF
0 - 2
PAL
12%
15%
73%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
RED
1 - 1
PAL
26%
22%
52%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
MOR
4 - 0
SWQ
79%
13%
9%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 2
MOR
53%
20%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SUN
0 - 7
MOR
11%
19%
70%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 3
BRI
55%
21%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
OLY
2 - 2
MOR
71%
15%
14%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |