Palestino vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
PAL
0 - 1
SCI
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
PAL
47%
25%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 1
TAL
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PAL
3 - 1
HUA
50%
25%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
TAL
2 - 2
PAL
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
UCO
5 - 4
SPC
29%
24%
47%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
COL
1 - 0
UCO
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
UCO
0 - 0
EVE
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
COL
0 - 2
UCO
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |