Palestino vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 0
USF
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
HUA
0 - 1
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 4
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
NUB
3 - 1
PAL
43%
27%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 1
UCH
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
UCH
1 - 2
UCO
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCH
51%
24%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ACS
0 - 1
UCO
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
UCO
3 - 1
ACS
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
UCO
4 - 1
DLS
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |