Copa Chile 1/16
Global 5-4
Palestino vs Santiago Morning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2019 |
PAL
0 - 1
ZUL
48%
24%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
CUR
1 - 1
PAL
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2019 |
ZUL
2 - 1
PAL
36%
25%
38%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2019 |
PAL
3 - 0
CSL
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
COL
2 - 1
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
SWA
3 - 1
SAN
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
DLS
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
COB
3 - 0
SAN
64%
20%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |