Palestino vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
PAL
5 - 0
GAL
82%
12%
7%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1979 |
PAL
1 - 0
OHI
62%
19%
19%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1979 |
POR
0 - 2
PAL
52%
22%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
GAL
1 - 1
PAL
35%
23%
42%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1979 |
OHI
1 - 1
PAL
56%
21%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
OHI
1 - 1
POR
61%
20%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1979 |
POR
1 - 1
GAL
71%
16%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1979 |
POR
0 - 2
PAL
52%
22%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
POR
1 - 1
OHI
53%
22%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
GAL
1 - 1
POR
38%
23%
39%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |