Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 2-6
Palestino vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
34.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
4 - 1
OHI
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
UCO
1 - 1
PAL
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
COB
3 - 1
PAL
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
CUI
1 - 2
PAL
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 4
EVE
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 0
IND
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
IND
0 - 0
JUN
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
PER
1 - 1
IND
39%
26%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
IND
1 - 1
MIL
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |