Palestino vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 5
CSL
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
LIM
1 - 3
PAL
17%
21%
62%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
FOR
4 - 0
PAL
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 2
MAG
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
PAL
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
EST
0 - 2
MET
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CFC
2 - 2
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
EST
0 - 1
SLO
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
BAR
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |