Palestino vs Deportes Iquique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
13º
8º
39
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 62 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 56 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 50 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 47 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 46 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 45 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 44 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 41 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 37 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 35 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 33 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 32 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 29 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 27 |
16º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
3% | 20.5% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
62% | 69.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
35% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
UCH
1 - 0
PAL
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
UCH
0 - 1
PAL
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 5
UCH
49%
23%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 1
NUB
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
HUA
2 - 2
PAL
40%
28%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Iquique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
IQU
3 - 1
HUA
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
COQ
1 - 0
IQU
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
IQU
1 - 2
COQ
49%
23%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
UCO
2 - 2
IQU
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
IQU
2 - 1
DCO
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |