Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 3-2
Palestino vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
43.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 1
SWA
66%
19%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SWA
2 - 2
PAL
31%
25%
45%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 0
BAR
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 2
PAL
25%
24%
51%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SCF
0 - 4
PAL
9%
15%
76%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BAH
1 - 2
CUI
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 1
CUI
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
CUI
1 - 2
BOT
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CUI
1 - 1
BRA
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
COR
1 - 1
CUI
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |