Palestino vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
CDP
1 - 0
PAL
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
PAL
2 - 1
CDM
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
CSL
2 - 4
PAL
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2008 |
PAL
1 - 1
UCO
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ACS
2 - 1
PAL
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
DLS
2 - 2
COL
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
OHI
4 - 1
DLS
58%
23%
20%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2008 |
DLS
2 - 1
CDP
57%
22%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
NUB
1 - 0
DLS
55%
23%
23%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
DLS
2 - 1
HUA
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |