Palestino vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
51.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 2
UCO
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
ANT
0 - 1
PAL
43%
27%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
SCI
3 - 2
PAL
65%
22%
14%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 1
OHI
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
PAL
3 - 0
ALI
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
RIV
3 - 0
ARM
85%
11%
4%
|
86 | 37 | 49 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
RIV
3 - 0
ALI
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
RIV
2 - 3
TIG
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
SCI
2 - 2
RIV
33%
27%
39%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
TAL
0 - 2
RIV
22%
26%
52%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |