Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 1-1
Palestino vs At. Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
12.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ANT
1 - 1
PAL
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PAL
0 - 2
ACS
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
HUA
3 - 2
PAL
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 2
UCO
56%
25%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 2
COL
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
DEP
2 - 1
ATL
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 2
ATL
21%
28%
51%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 2
TAC
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
POR
1 - 3
ATL
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 0
MET
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |