Palermo FC vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.2%
4.8%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 1
EMP
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
PES
2 - 0
PAL
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 0
GEN
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 1
PAL
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 0
FIO
17%
22%
61%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 1
IMO
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
SIE
0 - 0
FRA
46%
27%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
LIV
0 - 0
FRA
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 0
LIV
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 0
FON
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |