Palermo FC vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
17.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
MES
1 - 1
PAL
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
PAL
3 - 0
VIC
54%
24%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
ABN
1 - 1
PAL
28%
28%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
PAL
3 - 1
GEN
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
VER
1 - 2
PAL
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 1
ASC
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2004 |
CAG
3 - 1
TRI
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 0
TOR
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
TER
1 - 0
TRI
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
COM
0 - 0
TRI
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |