Palermo FC vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
PAL
2 - 1
INT
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
LIV
0 - 2
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
ACM
2 - 1
PAL
78%
13%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
PAL
0 - 2
FIO
43%
25%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1949 |
PAL
2 - 2
TOR
18%
23%
59%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
TRI
1 - 0
JUV
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 1
TRI
36%
27%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
TRI
2 - 0
ROM
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
TRI
1 - 0
ASL
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1949 |
MOD
0 - 2
TRI
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |