Palermo FC vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
PAL
36%
28%
36%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
GEN
2 - 0
PAL
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
PAL
4 - 4
CHI
63%
21%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 0
PAL
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAT
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 2
USC
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
ATA
0 - 1
USC
10%
18%
72%
|
59 | 9 | 50 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
USC
4 - 0
CHI
78%
15%
8%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
USC
69%
21%
10%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
USC
1 - 1
FCS
69%
20%
12%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |