Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 3-3
Palermo FC vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 3
INT
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 3
CHI
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 2
PAL
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 1
ACM
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 1
BAR
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
THU
3 - 0
GCZ
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
THU
2 - 1
VLZ
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
SER
1 - 2
THU
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
VLZ
0 - 0
THU
44%
25%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
ZUR
1 - 0
THU
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |