Palermo FC vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
12.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
SSS
2 - 1
PAL
43%
30%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
PAL
0 - 1
ARZ
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
ASS
1 - 2
PAL
41%
28%
32%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
CAG
2 - 2
PAL
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
PAL
1 - 1
REG
62%
23%
14%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
CAV
2 - 1
PRG
33%
31%
36%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
USF
0 - 0
CAV
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
CAM
1 - 0
CAV
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
CAV
0 - 0
BOL
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
FIO
0 - 0
CAV
86%
11%
4%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | +1 |