Palermo FC vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
PAL
2 - 2
SAM
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 2
PAL
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
PAL
2 - 0
LAZ
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SIE
1 - 0
PAL
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PAL
5 - 1
CAG
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
SPA
3 - 1
ABN
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
SPA
2 - 1
COM
77%
17%
7%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SPA
2 - 1
PER
44%
29%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
LEC
3 - 1
SPA
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 1
CES
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |