Palermo FC vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
19.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
SAM
1 - 2
PAL
47%
29%
24%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
CES
0 - 2
PAL
44%
31%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
PAL
2 - 0
PAR
64%
24%
12%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
PAL
3 - 0
MAT
64%
23%
13%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
PIS
1 - 0
PAL
46%
29%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
SPA
0 - 3
VIC
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
TAR
0 - 2
SPA
48%
31%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 0
BAR
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
ASS
1 - 0
SPA
65%
23%
12%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 1
COM
60%
25%
15%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |