Palermo FC vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
CES
1 - 0
PAL
49%
29%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
PAL
1 - 1
PES
51%
30%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
TER
2 - 2
PAL
45%
30%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
PAL
2 - 1
BRE
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
TOR
1 - 3
PAL
84%
11%
5%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
SPA
2 - 1
BRE
56%
26%
18%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
BAR
0 - 0
SPA
54%
28%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
SPA
0 - 1
USF
44%
29%
27%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
LEC
1 - 0
SPA
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
SPA
3 - 1
ACM
14%
22%
65%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | +2 |