Palermo FC vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
BOL
1 - 0
PAL
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
USF
2 - 3
PAL
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
PAL
1 - 0
ACP
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
GEN
0 - 0
PAL
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
PAL
0 - 0
ASS
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
CAT
0 - 0
SPA
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
SPA
0 - 0
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1961 |
SPA
1 - 2
ACM
25%
24%
51%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
UDI
0 - 0
SPA
51%
24%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
LEC
2 - 0
SPA
42%
25%
34%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |