Palermo FC vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
PAL
0 - 0
FIO
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
LAZ
0 - 1
PAL
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
LIV
4 - 2
PAL
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
PAL
1 - 0
PES
56%
23%
22%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
PAL
3 - 0
ANC
62%
21%
18%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
SIE
0 - 0
LAZ
28%
22%
50%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
SIE
1 - 1
PES
64%
19%
17%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
ANC
1 - 1
SIE
47%
23%
30%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
SIE
0 - 1
ROM
24%
23%
52%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
SIE
1 - 2
LIV
27%
22%
51%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |