Palermo FC vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
18.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
PAR
2 - 1
PAL
45%
31%
24%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
USF
0 - 0
PAL
52%
29%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
PAL
1 - 0
BRE
64%
25%
11%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
VER
0 - 0
PAL
64%
23%
13%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
PAL
0 - 0
GEN
61%
26%
14%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
PRG
1 - 0
BRI
68%
22%
10%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
PRG
1 - 0
BRE
64%
24%
12%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
FCC
2 - 0
PRG
48%
30%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
PRG
0 - 0
COM
49%
29%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
PRG
1 - 3
SPA
66%
23%
11%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |