Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 1-2
Palermo FC vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
50.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
PAL
1 - 1
BRE
38%
32%
30%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
PAR
0 - 0
PAL
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
PAL
3 - 0
MES
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
MES
1 - 0
PAL
68%
20%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
PAL
1 - 3
VER
21%
28%
51%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
LAZ
1 - 1
PAR
57%
25%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
PAR
0 - 0
PAL
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
ACM
0 - 0
PAR
75%
18%
8%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
PAR
2 - 0
CES
51%
28%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAR
44%
29%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |