Palermo FC vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
FRO
0 - 0
PAL
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 1
PAR
66%
21%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ASC
0 - 0
PAL
28%
27%
46%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 1
LEO
73%
19%
9%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 0
PRG
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BRE
0 - 1
NOV
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 1
FRO
32%
28%
41%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
USF
2 - 2
NOV
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 2
AVE
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
SPE
1 - 0
NOV
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |