Palermo FC vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
20.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
LEC
2 - 2
PAL
61%
24%
15%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
PAL
0 - 0
PES
42%
31%
26%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
COM
2 - 3
PAL
62%
25%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
PAL
2 - 2
RIM
50%
29%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
ATL
1 - 0
PAL
64%
24%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
NOV
1 - 0
SPA
48%
29%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
COM
1 - 1
NOV
62%
24%
14%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
NOV
2 - 1
SSS
46%
30%
23%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
NOV
2 - 1
LEC
32%
30%
38%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
RIM
2 - 1
NOV
58%
22%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |