Palermo FC vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
19%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1974 |
JUV
1 - 1
PAL
91%
7%
3%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
COM
2 - 0
PAL
53%
28%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1974 |
AVE
0 - 0
PAL
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
PAL
2 - 2
SPA
51%
31%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1974 |
LAZ
1 - 0
PAL
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 0
ATL
49%
29%
21%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
FCC
1 - 1
NOV
50%
29%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 0
NOV
58%
26%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1974 |
NOV
0 - 0
AVE
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 1
BRI
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |